2025 Oscar Favorites

September 3, 2024 - The Big Picture Podcast
Best Picture

✔ Dune 2
Anora
✔ Sing Sing
Emilia Perez
Conclave
Gladiator II
The Piano Lesson
Saturday Night
A Complete Unknown
Blitz
Challengers
The Brutalist
Joker: Folie à Deux
Wicked Part One
Nosferatu

Gold Derby predictions as of July 18, 2024

BEST PICTURE

1. ✔ Sing Sing
2. ✔ Dune: Part Two
3. Blitz - November 1, 2024
4. Anora — October 18, 2024
5. Conclave- November 1, 2024
6. Emilia Perez - On Netflix on November 13, 2024
7. Joker: Folie à Deux — October 4, 2024
8. Nickel Boys - October 25, 2024
9. Gladiator II - November 22, 2024
10. A Real Pain - October 18, 2024

Predicted Spoilers: The Piano Lesson (December 2024), Hard Truths (October 18, 2024), The Seed of the Sacred Fig (in France on September 18, 2024), Wicked (November 22, 2024), Nightbitch (December 6, 2024)


BEST ACTRESS

1. Amy Adams - Nightbitch - December 6, 2024
2. Mikey Madison - Anora
3. Saoirse Ronan - Blitz
4. Lady Gaga - Joker: Folie à Deux
5. Karla Sofia Gascon - Emilia Perez

Predicted Spoilers: Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”), Tilda Swinton (“The Room Next Door”), June Squibb (“Thelma”), Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Cynthia Erivo (“Wicked”)


BEST ACTOR

1. ✔ Colman Domingo - Sing Sing
2. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
3. Joaquin Phoenix - Joker: Folie à Deux
4. John David Washington - The Piano Lesson
5. Paul Mescal - Gladiator II - November 22, 2024

Predicted Spoilers: Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”), Nicholas Hoult (“Juror #2”), Jesse Plemons (“Kinds of Kindness”), Andrew Garfield (“We Live in Time”), Ethan Herisse (“Nickel Boys”)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Danielle Deadwyler - The Piano Lesson
2. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor - Nickel Boys
3. Zoe Saldana - Emilia Perez
4. Isabella Rossellini - Conclave
5. Toni Collette - Juror #2”

Predicted Spoilers: Julianne Moore (“The Room Next Door”), Joan Chen (“Didi”), Selena Gomez (“Emilia Perez”), Carrie Coon (“His Three Daughters”), Margaret Qualley (“The Substance”)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Samuel L. Jackson - The Piano Lesson
2. ✔ Clarence Maclin - Sing Sing
3. Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain
4. Stanley Tucci - Conclave
5. Denzel Washington - Gladiator II

Predicted Spoilers: John Lithgow (“Conclave”), Harris Dickinson (“Blitz”), Paul Raci (“Sing Sing”), Pedro Pascal (“Gladiator II”), Mark Eydelshteyn (“Anora”)


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. ✔ Sing Sing
2. Conclave
3. Nickel Boys
4. Nightbitch
5. ✔ Dune: Part Two

Predicted Spoilers: “The Piano Lesson,” “Hit Man,” “Joker: Folie à Deux,” “Gladiator II,” “Here”


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Anora
2. Blitz
3. A Real Pain
4. Hard Truths
5. Emilia Pere

Predicted Spoilers: “The Room Next Door,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “The Substance,” “Juror #2,” “Challengers”


BEST DIRECTOR

1. Steve McQueen - Blitz
2. Sean Baker - Anora
3. ✔ Denis Villeneuve - Dune: Part Two
4. Edward Berger - Conclave
5. ✔ Greg Kwedar - Sing Sing

Predicted Spoilers: Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Perez”), Mohammad Rasoulof (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”), Todd Phillips (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Marielle Heller (“Nightbitch”)